Market Pulse · Daily Scan
Daily Market Pulse
Jul 13, 2026 · sentiment/flow window ≈ 48h · Reflects the start of Q2 earnings season; weekend news digested into Monday's session.
Pre-marketnot publishedPost-market
TLDR;
Q2 earnings kickoff; financials catch a strong bid on robust net interest income while mega-cap tech consolidates ahead of late-July prints. Breadth: broadening (value/financials leading, tech lagging slightly); rotation away from momentum into cyclical value..A · Daily Pulse
What moved — and why
▲ Rising — dailycomposite
| # | Ticker | Move | Driver | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JPM | +3.2% | REPORTED: Q2 earnings beat driven by strong Net Interest Income and better-than-expected investment banking fees. Momentum continuing from Friday's initial print. ↔ deep-dive | 80 |
| 2 | WFC | +2.8% | REPORTED: Sympathy bid with JPM and continued turnaround momentum. Asset cap removal timeline expectations moving forward in analyst notes. | 77 |
| 3 | TSLA | +4.5% | INFERRED: No fresh corporate catalyst; aggressive Retail/Tier-3 bidding ahead of the anticipated August Robotaxi unveil. Extreme volume into short-dated calls. pump risk↔ deep-dive | 76 |
| 4 | LMT | +1.8% | INFERRED: Defense sector bid on weekend geopolitical headlines (Middle East tensions); steady rotational flow into defensive aerospace. | 60 |
| 5 | RIVN | +5.1% | REPORTED: Ongoing momentum from early July delivery beat and formalization of the VW JV capital injection details. | 59 |
▼ Falling — dailycomposite
| # | Ticker | Move | Driver | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | −6.5% | REPORTED: Q2 earnings miss on unit revenue (TRASM); management cited heavy domestic discounting and excess industry capacity pressuring summer yields. | 80 |
| 2 | INTC | −3.8% | INFERRED: Rumors of further 18A node volume delays circulating in supply chain media, reversing the speculative foundry gains from June. ↔ deep-dive | 77 |
| 3 | UAL | −4.2% | REPORTED: Sympathy sell-off alongside DAL; entire airline sector de-rating on domestic overcapacity and pricing power concerns ahead of UAL's own print. | 67 |
| 4 | PEP | −2.1% | REPORTED: Q2 volume miss in North America beverages and Frito-Lay. Pricing hikes failing to offset consumer pushback. | 55 |
| 5 | NKE | −1.5% | INFERRED: Post-earnings momentum bleed continues. Analyst downgrades trickling in from late June guidance cut with no near-term turnaround catalyst visible. | 45 |
B · One-Year Conviction
Asymmetric 12-month skew
Free sources only; estimate-revision/valuation rigor limited. Directional, not precise.
▲ Upside skew — 1yrconviction
| Ticker | Thesis | Key risk | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE | Aerospace pure-play enjoying a multi-year commercial engine aftermarket super-cycle. Cash flow profile derisked and expanding. | supply chain bottlenecks limiting engine deliveries; macro recession denting air travel demand | 84 |
| CRWD | Clear platform consolidator in cybersecurity. Identity and cloud protection modules driving strong net retention and durable FCF growth. ↔ deep-dive | high valuation multiple compression; macro IT budget constraints | 82 |
| AMZN | AWS growth re-acceleration driven by GenAI workloads, coupled with structurally higher retail margins post-regionalization. | consumer retail slowdown; AWS capex return on investment timeline | 80 |
▼ Downside skew — 1yrconviction
| Ticker | Thesis | Key risk | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| BA | Ongoing FAA production caps, supply chain distress, and negative free cash flow generation delay the turnaround story by at least another 18 months. ↔ deep-dive | sudden FAA cap lift; activist intervention forces break-up | 82 |
| SBUX | Brand fatigue in US combined with severe macro and competitive headwinds in China. Margin structure pressured by unionization and promotional discounting. | successful new product innovation cycle; China macro stimulus | 70 |
| WBA | Secular decline in retail pharmacy economics. Dividend cut largely priced in, but heavy store closure costs and healthcare pivot execution risks remain immense. | private equity buyout; regulatory intervention aiding pharmacy margins | 60 |
C · Options Heat
Where the premium is paying up
| Ticker | Signal | Read | Implication | Lag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | sweep | Heavy Aug $280/$300 call spreads | Retail/Speculative positioning for a massive Robotaxi event squeeze. | Barchart free tier EOD aggregator; no live tape. |
| NFLX | iv_spike | IV elevated into July 16 earnings | Market pricing a larger-than-average move; straddle pricing rich. | Inferred from Yahoo Finance chains; delayed data. |
| DAL | vol_oi | Surge in put volume vs 30d average | Downside continuation pricing post-earnings miss. | EOD aggregator; free sources only. |
D · Catalyst Calendar
Upcoming events
E · Trade Ideas
What the data implies
JPMlong · track A
Rationale Post-earnings momentum drift. NII strength establishes a solid fundamental floor in current rate environment.
Invalidation Loss of pre-earnings base; sudden spike in loan loss provisions noted in 10-Q
Risk Subject to broader market pullbacks.
DALshort · track A
Rationale Clear breakdown on earnings. Structural overcapacity issues in domestic travel will take quarters to resolve.
Invalidation Reclaim of 200-day moving average or sudden capacity cut announcements
Risk Airlines can snap back violently on oil price drops.
NFLXneutral · track n/a
Rationale Elevated IV into July 16 earnings. Fundamentals strong, but valuation leaves little room for error.
Invalidation n/a (volatility view)
Risk Subscriber numbers can cause gap moves outside standard deviations.
Methodology & limitations
- no live options tape (free sources only)
- Track B estimate-revision rigor limited by paywalls
- sentiment is crowd-positioning, not verified fact
Not financial advice. Educational/analytical only — generated by Gemini 2.5 Flash. Do your own diligence.